Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment
In 2017, Marin County's BayWAVE program completed the Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment -- a technical report that details how shoreline flooding will worsen with sea level rise if no actions are taken.
The BayWAVE Vulnerability Assessment identifies specific risks and impacts along the entire bay shoreline, from Sausalito to Novato, for several sea level rise scenarios. Sea level rise scenarios were selected using best available science, state guidance, and include the high tide and storm flooding we already experience:
Sea level rise scenarios
| BayWAVE Scenarios |
Sea Level Rise |
+100-year storm |
| Near-term (approx. 2030) |
10 inches |
46 inches (3.8 feet) |
| Mid-term (approx. 2050) |
20 inches |
56 inches (4.7 feet) |
| Long-term (approx. 2100) |
60 inches |
96 inches (8 feet) |
This report doesn’t have to be read all the way through. Start with the Executive Summary to understand how the report was developed. Then, select community profiles or asset profiles that interest you (under the BY SECTION tab below) to learn about specific locations and impacts.
⟹ Access the Marin Shoreline Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment Full Report